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Vulgar Statistics: Women’s Hockey Rankings 1-19

01/19/15

As the NCAA season progresses, I’m going to publish weekly rankings in conjunction with the USCHO poll.  These rankings will be entirely statistics based with the explanation as to how those stats are developed here.  As I prefer to do when compiling rankings, a team’s final ranking will be determined by a summation of their rankings in various statistical categories:

  • Overall winning percentage (pct)
  • Percentage of shots taken (S%) – (Editor’s Note – This is essentially the best imitator of Corsi %.  I’m told that shot attempts (Shots on goal plus missed shots plus shots taken that get blocked) are recorded but that data is not available anywhere.) 
  • Percentage of shots taken relative to Opponents’ S% (Rel S%)
  • S% versus teams with an S% of 50% or more
  • Rel S% versus teams with an S% of 50 or more
  • Shooting Percentage (Sht%)
  • Save Percentage (Sv%)

uscho

I can’t really blame Wisconsin for splitting their series with Bemidji State.  The Beavers are a pain in the ass to play and even harder to score on and the Badgers suffered for it.  Quinnipiac plays at Boston University and Boston College next week on the 21st and the 24th and both games will be streamed for free from each Boston’s respective website.  I highly encourage watching.  We’ll learn where the ECAC and Hockey East stand against one another.  I think Quinnipiac is almost certainly better than BU and about even with BC.

RPI

Cornell’s meteoric rise was well earned and perhaps even a little late.  They never should have dropped any lower than maybe 12th or so.  Of their 6 losses, 5 are to ranked teams (BC twice, Quinnipiac, and Minnesota-Duluth twice) with the other coming to not-terrible Princeton.  Since getting swept by UMD on November 21st and 22nd they’re 7-0-3 with wins over Clarkson, St. Lawrence, and Boston University and their three ties against Clarkson, St. Lawrence, and Mercyhurst.  I watched their 6-2 win over BU in which they took a 6-0 lead and they just play a smart safe game and never beat themselves.  They’re probably coming back to earth this weekend @ Dartmouth and @Harvard, but they’re as much a threat to win the ECAC as anyone.

my rank

Poor Ohio State, they dropped two tough 1-0 games to North Dakota.  They’re a good team, they’re just not one of the elite teams.  Question as Mercyhurst proves fallible: Do you give them an at-large bid if they don’t win the CHA Tournament?  I say no way in hell.  Here’s where I’d go:

  1. Boston College (presumed Hockey East autobid)
  2. Minnesota (presumed WCHA autobid)
  3. Quinnipiac (presumed ECAC autobid)
  4. Wisconsin
  5. Boston University
  6. Clarkson
  7. Harvard
  8. CHA Winner regardless of who it is

And again:

  • Jan. 30 – Harvard @ Quinnipiac
  • Feb. 14 – Quinnipiac @ Clarkson
  • Feb. 21 – Clarkson @ Harvard

Quinnipiac and Clarkson have free live feeds for home games so circle those dates.

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